💰 Betting Key Numbers: Strategies For NFL Point Spreads

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This post calculates the margin of victory for every NFL game since to illustrate the importance of key numbers when betting on the NFL.


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What Are Key Numbers in Sports Betting?
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The numbers game, also known as the numbers racket, the Italian lottery, or the daily number, is a form of illegal gambling or illegal game to sports betting, as the state was starting its own lottery, and the National Football League did not.


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Gaming tips and lessons for sports betting. To bet on football, tell the ticket writer the bet number of the team you wish to bet, with the point spread and the.


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Betting Scene - Focus - Part One

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Complete guide to key numbers in sports betting - How to use key numbers to bet on NFL football and NBA basketball point spreads totals and over/unders.


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A common phrase heard from experienced football bettors is: “I don't bet teams, I bet numbers.” Picking the winning team in a football game isn't easy. It's even.


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(How To Bet) KEY NUMBERS In Football Betting

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Gaming tips and lessons for sports betting. To bet on football, tell the ticket writer the bet number of the team you wish to bet, with the point spread and the.


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The numbers game, also known as the numbers racket, the Italian lottery, or the daily number, is a form of illegal gambling or illegal game to sports betting, as the state was starting its own lottery, and the National Football League did not.


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Betting Strategies: Key Numbers in College and NFL Football

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Complete guide to key numbers in sports betting - How to use key numbers to bet on NFL football and NBA basketball point spreads totals and over/unders.


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Betting Scene - Focus - Part 2

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Gaming tips and lessons for sports betting. To bet on football, tell the ticket writer the bet number of the team you wish to bet, with the point spread and the.


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Complete guide to key numbers in sports betting - How to use key numbers to bet on NFL football and NBA basketball point spreads totals and over/unders.


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You are betting that the total number of points scored by both teams combined will be either higher or lower than a certain number chosen by the sportsbook. However, there are still lots of ways to use key numbers to your advantage in point spread betting. An important thing to note is that key numbers are most relevant for certain bets on the outcome of individual games, namely, point spreads and point totals. If you find four bookmakers offering the odds in our example bet:. If you bet on the Eagles here, you would win the bet if they either win the game or lose by less than 3 points or more. The value of the different scores in a sport tends to determine the most common margin of victory. So, now we know that key numbers are the most common margins of victory, determined by the scoring system. Once again, the answer lies in the scoring system. When you know the most common combinations, you can learn to spot when the point total is at a potentially valuable number depending on what you think the outcome of the game will be. That may look like this:. When an NFL game is close near the end, teams are more likely to try to win with a field goal, rather than run the risk of scoring a touchdown.

This page contains everything you need to know to start using key numbers to your advantage right now, including:. To be a successful sports bettor, key numbers are something you need to be aware of.

Think about all the tight games you have seen over the years where a team is tactically trying to wind the clock down after a field goal. Do you think the total points will more or less than this number?

It will look something like this:. Instead, we should think of key numbers as one of many important football numbers gambling that we consider as smart sports bettors, like odds.

See DraftKings. However, gambling probability and always the bookmakers are aware of this.

Generally, point total betting is a simple way to bet. Football is undoubtedly the sport in which key numbers play the biggest role when betting.

This is because when games are close, one successful scoring opportunity is often enough to win the game. Think about some of the more common sounding scores for NFL games —, All of these are decided by key numbers.

Key numbers always have to do with the increments in which points are scored. Some bookmakers will even allow you to bet on the exact football numbers gambling number of points scored, or offer point total betting in an individual quarter or half of a game.

Key numbers are relevant for all of these. This means that to win this bet on the Patriots, the Pats need to win by 3. In tight games, teams often find themselves only separated by the lowest value score, the field goal.

Once you get used to all the key numbers in NFL, you will automatically view the point spread through the lens of key numbers.

In football, a typical point total bet might look like this:. Point total betting is quite simple. Here are some easy to follow tips for factoring key numbers into your totals bets. These two numbers are closely related.

A point spread is a way of leveling the football numbers gambling field when betting on teams with differing abilities by helping the underdog and handicapping the favorite. Example: By far the most common margin of victory in the NFL is three points, the value of a field goal. One important thing to remember is that key numbers are not some magic formula to winning sports bets.

The spread, in this case, is 3, which as we know is the most important key number in NFL. This is due to the scoring system. Bookmakers are well aware of key numbers too, and set their lines accordingly. Since the most common winning margin for a favorite by far is 3 points if they were to move the Patriots to In some cases, they will change the odds on each team rather than change the spread.

Say your model predicted that the total score will be Without understanding key numbers, you might think that betting on the Under here is football numbers gambling good bet, according to your prediction.

This effectively means you can choose your own point spread. They are not a cheat code, but understanding them will absolutely make you a more successful bettor. However, there are still plenty of occasions that buying the points around key numbers is worth it. Many bookmakers allow you to buy points on the spread. The second set of numbers is the odds and it tells you how much the bet pays out. Often, comparing the different odds available can give you more information. New Users Only. Just like in the point spread, the key is to look for times when the point total line is a key number. If you think it will be lower, bet the under. A converted touchdown scores 7 points in NFL, and this is the second most common margin of victory. Since you know how important key numbers are in the point spread, you can accept slightly worse odds to move the point spread on or off a key number. As you can see in the example above, the point spread is often placed around a key number. In this case, the bookmaker has indicated that they believe the combined total scores in the game will be If you think the final total will be higher, bet the over. The margin is heavily influenced by the scoring system in that specific sport. The important thing is that your predictions and bets are informed by the value of key numbers. Take our example again:. Here are some practical strategies involving key numbers:. It is up to you to spot the value. They will likely charge you higher odds to buy a point or half a point around a key number. In the NFL, key numbers in point total betting are also determined by the value of the scores and their various combinations. So you know which key numbers are important for each sport. The most popular bet in all of sports gambling is called the point spread. It is worth repeating that key numbers are not a cheat code but they do give you another factor to compare when shopping for the best odds at different sportsbooks. In sports with a single scoring system, like hockey or soccer where you can only ever score one goal at a time, key numbers are less important. However, in sports like football and basketball where you are awarded different numbers of points depending on the type of score, key numbers become very important, especially to gambling. Key numbers are most relevant for irregular, multi-point scoring sports. This sounds simple but being a good sports bettor involves plenty of simple and methodical actions like actually doing the legwork of checking around for the best price. Check out our guide to reading betting lines and odds for more info on that. This might look like this:. How can we use this information to our advantage in sports betting? Key numbers are different in different sports so before you make a bet, always be aware of the role that key numbers play in the specific sport you are betting on. Key numbers refer to the most common margin of victory in a game. Keep reading to find out. They are often either the value of a certain type of score, a multiple of that value, or one number up or down from that value. It involves a predicting not just which team will win the game, but what the margin of victory will be. A slightly more complicated situation arises if you have a very specific prediction for your point total bet, maybe from predictive betting software. Bookmakers will be reluctant to move off key numbers in the point spread since they are the most common margin of victory. A good way to think about this is that the difference between -3 and The thing to watch out for is when the point spread is either a key number or just over or under a key number. Once you learn to look at a bet with key numbers in mind, all kinds of interesting betting opportunities will start to reveal themselves. Since it is also important to pay attention to score combinations, 10 is the next most important key number, the value of a field goal and a touchdown together. The first key number is the value of a field goal, the second is the value of a converted touchdown, and the third is the value of the two scores together. Unfortunately, so does the bookmaker. Different bookmakers offer different prices. The favorite team will be given a negative point value, while the underdog will be given a positive point value. However, it is significantly less common than a 3 point margin, meaning that while certainly a key number, 7 is less significant in NFL than 3. The fact that points are scored in certain increments means that some points totals are much more likely than others. Each sport has different key numbers associated with it. In football, three and seven are the most important key numbers because points are scored in threes for field goals and sevens for converted touchdowns. The most common total points scored, and therefore key numbers for point total betting, in order of importance are:. This leads to statistics like the one above. When you see a point spread that is just over or under a key number for example, 3. Eligibility restrictions apply. In this case, the bookmakers think the game will be fairly close, with the Patriots the favorite.